Hoshen, Moshe B. and Morse, Andrew P. (2004) A weather-driven model of malaria transmission. Malaria Journal, 3 . Article Number: 32. ISSN 1475-2875
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution.
Cited 46 times in WoS
Background: Climate is a major driving force behind malaria transmission and climate data are often used to account for the spatial, seasonal and interannual variation in malaria transmission. Methods: This paper describes a mathematical-biological model of the parasite dynamics, comprising both the weather-dependent within-vector stages and the weather-independent withinhost stages. Results: Numerical evaluations of the model in both time and space show that it qualitatively reconstructs the prevalence of infection. Conclusion: A process-based modelling structure has been developed that may be suitable for the simulation of malaria forecasts based on seasonal weather forecasts.
|Additional Information:||Published: 06 September 2004. 14 pages (page numbers not for citation purposes),|
|Uncontrolled Keywords:||PLASMODIUM-FALCIPARUM TRANSMISSION; ANOPHELES-FARAUTI DIPTERA; NORTH-EASTERN TANZANIA; PAPUA-NEW-GUINEA; CLIMATE-CHANGE; AFRICAN HIGHLANDS; SPOROZOITE RATES; SURVIVAL RATE; AN.-FUNESTUS; RICE FIELDS|
|Subjects:||G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > G Geography (General)|
|Departments, Research Centres and Related Units:||Academic Faculties, Institutes and Research Centres > Faculty of Science > Department of Physics|
Academic Faculties, Institutes and Research Centres > Faculty of Social and Environmental Studies > Department of Geography
|Publisher's Statement:||© 2004 Hoshen and Morse; licensee BioMed Central Ltd. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.|
|Deposited On:||04 Nov 2009 12:55|
|Last Modified:||25 Apr 2012 12:27|
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